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Al Nahda vs Dhofar

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Al Ghafri M.

AI Match Summary

The Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Nahda and Dhofar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Nahda
35%
Draws
20%
Dhofar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nahda come out ahead of Dhofar on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Al Nahda taking it.
  • Regular Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 68%
Dhofar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Dhofar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Dhofar
1:0
Jan 7, 2026 Professional League
Dhofar vs Al Nahda
0:2
Sep 20, 2024 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Dhofar
0:0
May 24, 2024 Professional League
Dhofar vs Al Nahda
0:1
May 10, 2024 Sultan Cup
Al Nahda vs Dhofar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghafri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dhofar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 95 / 100
Dhofar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Dhofar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Al Nahda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Nahda found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Dhofar let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Dhofar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Dhofar
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 6

Dhofar

(Away)
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
31 Aug
Oman Club
2 : 0
Dhofar
24 Aug
Bahla
3 : 0
Dhofar
18 Aug
Dhofar
3 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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