Sport Picks

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Al Nahda vs Sohar

Oman Oman

FA Cup 2025/2026 Al-Rustaq Sports Complex, Rustaq
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Al Mujaini M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Sohar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Nahda
35%
Draws
32%
Sohar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sohar haven't matched Al Nahda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Nahda's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Al Nahda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nahda, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Nahda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 68%
Sohar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Sohar
Matches Played 39 34
Wins 19 15
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Sohar
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 Professional League
Sohar vs Al Nahda
1:2
Dec 18, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Sohar
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 FA Cup
Sohar vs Al Nahda
2:5
Apr 27, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Sohar
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nahda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mujaini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 51 / 100
Sohar 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Sohar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Al Nahda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Nahda scored in 77% of their last 39 outings.

Sohar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Sohar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
19 Aug
Al Nahda
3 : 1
Al-Msnaa
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Sohar

(Away)
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Fanja SC
0 : 1
Sohar
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
19 Aug
Sohar
2 : 1
Saham
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Al Nahda 3
Sur Club 2
Al Seeb 0
Sohar 1
Final
Al Nahda 0
Sohar 1