Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nahda vs Sohar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

FA Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
64' Event
71' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Nahda
35%
Draws
27%
Sohar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nahda have won more games recently than Sohar.
  • Win probability leans Al Nahda's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Al Nahda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nahda, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Nahda have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 68%
Sohar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Sohar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.16 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Sohar
2:1
May 8, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Sohar
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 Professional League
Sohar vs Al Nahda
1:2
Dec 18, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Sohar
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 FA Cup
Sohar vs Al Nahda
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 59 / 100
Sohar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Sohar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Al Nahda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Nahda's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sohar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Sohar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 7

Sohar

(Away)
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
24 Sept
Sohar
1 : 3
Al Seeb
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Fanja SC
0 : 1
Sohar
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahla 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
2 Oman Club 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Dhofar 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
4 Sur Club 4 2 1 1 7:9 7
5 Fanja SC 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
6 Al Samail 4 0 2 2 9:13 2
7 Al Nasr 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
2 Al Nahda 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
3 Al Shabab 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
4 Sohar 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
5 Saham 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
6 Al Msnaa 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
7 Ibri 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)