Sport Picks

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Al-Najma vs Al-Budaiya

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Mohamed Q.
43' Event
N'Goma K.
86'
Al Hazza S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Najma and Al-Budaiya finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Budaiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Al-Najma
15%
Draws
26%
Al-Budaiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Najma come out ahead of Al-Budaiya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al-Najma a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Najma Al-Budaiya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
0:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Budaiya
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
1:0
Oct 11, 2022 King's Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohamed Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Budaiya Compare

Top Goalscorer N'Goma K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Najma 76 / 100
Al-Budaiya 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Najma Al-Budaiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Najma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Najma's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Budaiya has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Al-Najma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Najma VS Al-Budaiya
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Najma

(Home)
11 Sept
Al-Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al-Najma
27 Aug
Al-Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
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Al-Budaiya

(Away)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)