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Al-Najma vs Al-Hidd

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Hadji Z.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Najma and Al-Hidd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al-Najma
28%
Draws
22%
Al-Hidd
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Al-Najma haven't matched Al-Hidd's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al-Najma a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Hidd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Najma Al-Hidd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Hidd
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Al-Hidd vs Al-Najma
3:1
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Al-Hidd vs Al-Najma
2:1
Feb 5, 2024 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Hidd
4:2
Apr 21, 2022 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Hidd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadji Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al-Hidd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Najma 59 / 100
Al-Hidd 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Najma Al-Hidd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Al-Najma found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Al-Hidd let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al-Najma stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Najma VS Al-Hidd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567