Sport Picks

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Al-Najma vs Al-Hidd

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Hadji Z.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Najma and Al-Hidd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al-Najma
15%
Draws
45%
Al-Hidd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Hidd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al-Najma haven't matched Al-Hidd's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Hidd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Najma Al-Hidd
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Hidd
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Al-Hidd vs Al-Najma
3:1
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Al-Hidd vs Al-Najma
2:1
Feb 5, 2024 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Hidd
4:2
Apr 21, 2022 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Hidd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadji Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Hidd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Najma 32 / 100
Al-Hidd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Najma Al-Hidd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Al-Najma found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Al-Hidd let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Al-Najma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Najma VS Al-Hidd
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Najma

(Home)
11 Sept
Al-Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al-Najma
27 Aug
Al-Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7

Al-Hidd

(Away)
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al-Hidd
05 Sept
Al-Hidd
0 : 1
Al-Ahli
28 Aug
East Riffa
0 : 2
Al-Hidd
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
11 May
Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Hidd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)