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Al Najma vs Al Muharraq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Najma host Al Muharraq in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Al Muharraq have shipped 0.57 goals a game lately, while Al Najma have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.26. Past meetings favor Al Muharraq slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.44 - 1.69) back Al Muharraq to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Najma
20%
Draws
47%
Al Muharraq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Muharraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Muharraq come out ahead of Al Najma on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Muharraq's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 13%
Al Muharraq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najma Al Muharraq
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 12 24
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.26 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Muharraq
1:3
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Al Najma
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Al Najma
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Muharraq
0:0
May 14, 2024 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Muharraq
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najma 27 / 100
Al Muharraq 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najma Al Muharraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Muharraq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Najma scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Al Najma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Muharraq conceded in 49% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Najma VS Al Muharraq
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najma

(Home)
22 Oct
Al Najma
1 : 2
Aali Club
17 Oct
Al Najma
2 : 2
Al Hidd
11 Oct
Sitra
0 : 2
Al Najma
11 Sept
Al Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al Najma
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Al Muharraq

(Away)
23 Oct
East Riffa
0 : 1
Al Muharraq
18 Oct
Al Muharraq
3 : 0
Malkia
14 Oct
Al Muharraq
2 : 0
Gol Gohar
09 Oct
Al Khalidiyah
2 : 2
Al Muharraq
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 6 4 2 0 15:4 14
2 Al Khalidiyah 6 3 3 0 16:8 12
3 Al Ittifaq 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 Al Muharraq 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Sitra 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
6 Al Ahli 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
7 East Riffa 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
8 Aali Club 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
9 Al Najma 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
10 Al Hidd 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
11 Manama Club 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
12 Malkia 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)