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Al-Najma vs Bahrain SC

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Refai H.
82' Event
Da Silva O. G.
90' Event
Al Hazza S.

AI Match Summary

Al-Najma in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Najma
6%
Draws
4%
Bahrain SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Najma have won more games recently than Bahrain SC.
  • Model gives Al-Najma a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al-Najma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 68%
Bahrain SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Najma Bahrain SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Al-Najma
0:3
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Bahrain SC
2:1
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Bahrain SC
2:0
Dec 13, 2024 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Al-Najma
1:2
Oct 12, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Bahrain SC vs Al-Najma
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Refai H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Hazza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bahrain SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva O. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Najma 95 / 100
Bahrain SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Najma Bahrain SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahrain SC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bahrain SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Al-Najma scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Najma VS Bahrain SC
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567