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Al-Najma vs Sitra

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Humood Al Dosari A.
68' Event
Hadji Z.

AI Match Summary

Al-Najma in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al-Najma
15%
Draws
36%
Sitra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Najma lately — more wins on the board than Sitra.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Al-Najma taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 68%
Sitra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Najma Sitra
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Sitra
2:0
Sep 25, 2025 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Najma
0:0
May 20, 2025 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Sitra
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Najma
0:0
Apr 18, 2024 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Sitra
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Humood Al Dosari A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hadji Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sitra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Najma 77 / 100
Sitra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Najma Sitra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Najma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Najma scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Sitra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Al-Najma has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Najma VS Sitra
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Najma

(Home)
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
16 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7

Sitra

(Away)
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Sitra
0 : 2
Al-Ahli
27 Apr
Aali Club
0 : 2
Sitra
18 Apr
Sitra
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)