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Al Najoom vs Al Ain

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al Najoom and Al Ain finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Najoom
30%
Draws
39%
Al Ain
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ain come out ahead of Al Najoom on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Al Najoom Clean Sheet 11%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najoom Al Ain
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 21 9
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Division 2
Al Najoom vs Al Ain
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Division 2
Al Ain vs Al Najoom
1:1
Mar 11, 2020 Division 1
Al Ain vs Al Najoom
2:0
Oct 16, 2019 Division 1
Al Najoom vs Al Ain
0:1
Apr 17, 2019 Division 1
Al Najoom vs Al Ain
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najoom 35 / 100
Al Ain 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najoom Al Ain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Ain conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Al Najoom scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Najoom remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Najoom VS Al Ain
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najoom

(Home)
10 Apr
Najran
3 : 2
Al Najoom
04 Apr
Al Najoom
1 : 0
Al Jeel
28 Mar
Al-Sadd
1 : 2
Al Najoom
14 Mar
Al Najoom
2 : 2
Al-Sahel
07 Mar
Al-Sharq
0 : 0
Al Najoom
Page 1 of 6

Al Ain

(Away)
22 Apr
Hajer
1 : 2
Al Ain
16 Apr
Al Ain
1 : 3
Hajer
10 Apr
Al Ain
2 : 0
Al-Washm
04 Apr
Al Taraji
4 : 4
Al Ain
28 Mar
Al Ain
2 : 1
Tuwaiq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)