Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Najoom vs Tuwaiq

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Najoom
20%
Draws
34%
Tuwaiq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Najoom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Al Najoom and Tuwaiq on recent form.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Najoom Clean Sheet 16%
Tuwaiq Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najoom Tuwaiq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 21 10
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Division 2
Al Najoom vs Tuwaiq
0:0
Oct 17, 2025 Division 2
Tuwaiq vs Al Najoom
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najoom 30 / 100
Tuwaiq 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najoom Tuwaiq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Najoom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuwaiq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Al Najoom found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Al Najoom stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tuwaiq lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Najoom VS Tuwaiq
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najoom

(Home)
10 Apr
Najran
3 : 2
Al Najoom
04 Apr
Al Najoom
1 : 0
Al Jeel
28 Mar
Al-Sadd
1 : 2
Al Najoom
14 Mar
Al Najoom
2 : 2
Al-Sahel
07 Mar
Al-Sharq
0 : 0
Al Najoom
Page 1 of 6

Tuwaiq

(Away)
10 Apr
Al-Shoalah
4 : 1
Tuwaiq
04 Apr
Tuwaiq
4 : 1
Al Rawdhah
28 Mar
Al Ain
2 : 1
Tuwaiq
14 Mar
Tuwaiq
1 : 3
Al-Washm
07 Mar
Al Entesar
1 : 2
Tuwaiq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)