Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Naser vs Al Sahel

Kuwait Kuwait

Crown Prince Cup Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium, Kuwait
Al Naser Logo

Al Naser

Sun, Jan 4, 2026
1 - 0
01:10 PM
Al Sahel Logo

Al Sahel

Our Tip

Match Events

93' Event
Al Shammari D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Naser
35%
Draws
25%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Naser

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Sahel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Sahel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Naser, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Naser have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Al Naser Clean Sheet 68%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naser Al Sahel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Crown Prince Cup
Al Naser vs Al Sahel
1:0
Jan 26, 2024 Emir Cup
Al Naser vs Al Sahel
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Naser
3:0
Apr 5, 2023 Premier League
Al Naser vs Al Sahel
1:0
Dec 19, 2022 Premier League
Al Naser vs Al Sahel
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Naser Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shammari D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Sahel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naser 41 / 100
Al Sahel 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naser Al Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naser Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Naser scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Naser went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Sahel let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Naser VS Al Sahel
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naser

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Qadisiya
3 : 0
Al Naser
30 Aug
Al Naser
2 : 1
Al-Fahaheel
26 Aug
Al Salmiya
1 : 2
Al Naser
26 Jun
Al Naser
1 : 1
Al Jahra
21 Jun
Al Tadamon
1 : 1
Al Naser
Page 1 of 6

Al Sahel

(Away)
06 Sept
Al Salmiya
1 : 0
Al Sahel
01 Sept
Kazma SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
27 Aug
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Al Sulaibikhat
20 Aug
Al Sahel
2 : 3
Yarmouk
17 Aug
Al Sulaibikhat
0 : 0
Al Sahel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Yarmouk 1
Al Shabab 0
Al Qadisiya 2
Al-Fahaheel 1
Al-Jazira 0
Al Sulaibikhat 3
Kazma SC 2
Al Kuwait 3
Khaitan 0
Burgan 2
Al Jahra 0
Al Salmiya 1
Al Tadamon 2
Al Naser 1
Al Sahel 0
Quarter-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al Qadisiya 0
Al-Fahaheel 3
Al Sulaibikhat 0
Al Kuwait 3
Burgan 0
Al Tadamon 0
Al Naser 4
Semi-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al-Fahaheel 0
Al Kuwait 3
Al Naser 2
Final
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3
Al Kuwait 0