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Al Nasr Cairo vs Mostaqbal

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Al Nasr Cairo and Mostaqbal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mostaqbal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Nasr Cairo
40%
Draws
29%
Mostaqbal
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mostaqbal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Nasr Cairo Clean Sheet 20%
Mostaqbal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Cairo Mostaqbal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2023 Division 2 - Group B
Al Nasr Cairo vs Mostaqbal
0:1
Oct 21, 2022 Division 2 - Group B
Mostaqbal vs Al Nasr Cairo
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr Cairo 32 / 100
Mostaqbal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Cairo Mostaqbal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostaqbal has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Al Nasr Cairo found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Al Nasr Cairo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr Cairo VS Mostaqbal
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ZED FC301811144:1965
2Wadi Degla30174940:3155
3Al-Sekka30159642:2754
4Al Qanah30165933:2553
5Petrojet301410641:2352
6WE Sports Club30147943:3149
7Shabab Al Obour30147925:2449
8Tersana301212631:2148
9Suez Montakhab301181138:3341
10El-Entag El-Harby301081228:2938
11Porto Suez301151430:3738
12Mostaqbal30781532:4029
13Eastern Company30771629:4328
14Kahrabaa Ismailia30691533:4227
15Al Nasr Cairo30661824:4724
16El Alameen30242413:5410