Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nasr vs Al Ahly Benghazi

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Martyrs of February Stadium, Benghazi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Nasr and Al Ahly Benghazi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Nasr
15%
Draws
36%
Al Ahly Benghazi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahly Benghazi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 19%
Al Ahly Benghazi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Ahly Benghazi
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 19 20
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.56 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al Ahly Benghazi
1:0
May 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al Ahly Benghazi
0:3
May 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly Benghazi vs Al Nasr
1:1
Jul 10, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahly Benghazi vs Al Nasr
1:2
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahly Benghazi vs Al Nasr
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 32 / 100
Al Ahly Benghazi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Ahly Benghazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nasr scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahly Benghazi let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Ahly Benghazi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
2 : 3
Al Nasr
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Al Ahly Benghazi

(Away)
23 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 4
Al Ahly Benghazi
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Ahly Benghazi
11 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Akhdar
07 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
2 : 1
Military Union
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