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Al Nasr vs Al Bataeh

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
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Match Events

5'
Meleke U.
21'
Milivojevic L.
43' Event
Jumaa M.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Al Nasr and Al Bataeh finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Nasr
30%
Draws
41%
Al Bataeh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Bataeh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Al Bataeh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%
Al Bataeh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Bataeh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.57 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Bataeh
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 UAE League
Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr
2:3
Sep 5, 2025 League Cup
Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 League Cup
Al Nasr vs Al Bataeh
0:0
Mar 27, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Bataeh
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Bataeh Compare

Top Goalscorer Jumaa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 42 / 100
Al Bataeh 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Bataeh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nasr scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Al Bataeh let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Bataeh
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Aug
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Wahda
14 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 6

Al Bataeh

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Bataeh
1 : 3
Al Hamriyah
12 Sept
Emirates Club
0 : 1
Al Bataeh
04 Sept
Al Bataeh
1 : 2
Al Arabi (UAE)
29 Aug
Al Jazira Hamra
0 : 0
Al Bataeh
21 Aug
Al Bataeh
1 : 0
Al-Ittifaq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)