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Al Nasr vs Al Samail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

FA Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Djambae A. S.
13' Event
Djambae A. S.
43' Event
Al-Hakmani A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. The second leg ended 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Nasr
35%
Draws
18%
Al Samail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Al Samail on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Al Nasr have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%
Al Samail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Samail
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 21 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nasr vs Al Samail
3:3
May 18, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al Samail
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Professional League
Al Samail vs Al Nasr
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 FA Cup
Al Samail vs Al Nasr
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Djambae A. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Essogo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Samail Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Hakmani A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Jabri D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 85 / 100
Al Samail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Samail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Samail let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Al Nasr found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (38 games).

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Nasr stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Samail
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al Samail
25 Sept
Fanja SC
3 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 8

Al Samail

(Away)
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al Samail
25 Sept
Al Samail
5 : 5
Dhofar
20 Sept
Sur Club
3 : 1
Al Samail
10 Sept
Al Samail
0 : 0
Fanja SC
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al Samail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahla 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
2 Oman Club 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Dhofar 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
4 Sur Club 4 2 1 1 7:9 7
5 Fanja SC 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
6 Al Samail 4 0 2 2 9:13 2
7 Al Nasr 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
2 Al Nahda 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
3 Al Shabab 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
4 Sohar 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
5 Saham 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
6 Al Msnaa 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
7 Ibri 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)