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Al Nasr vs Al-Wahda

Oman Oman

Professional League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Al Muslimi W.

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr in this Professional League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Al Nasr
15%
Draws
20%
Al-Wahda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Nasr have won more games recently than Al-Wahda.
  • Al Nasr are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Nasr have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Wahda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al-Wahda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 1
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.32 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2024 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al-Wahda
1:0
Nov 6, 2023 Professional League
Al-Wahda vs Al Nasr
2:3
Apr 24, 2008 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al-Wahda
2:2
Jan 10, 2008 Professional League
Al-Wahda vs Al Nasr
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Muslimi W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Wahda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 85 / 100
Al-Wahda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al-Wahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Al-Wahda let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
25 Sept
Fanja SC
3 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
30 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Fanja SC
Page 1 of 7

Al-Wahda

(Away)
27 Dec
Al-Wahda
1 : 2
Oman Club
24 Oct
Al-Mudhaibi
2 : 3
Al-Wahda
23 Oct
Al-Wahda
0 : 1
Fanja SC
24 May
Al-Rustaq
3 : 0
Al-Wahda
19 May
Al-Wahda
2 : 5
Oman Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 22 18 3 1 40:9 57
2 Al Nahda 22 12 7 3 38:21 43
3 Oman Club 22 13 3 6 34:24 42
4 Sohar 22 10 7 5 32:21 37
5 Al Nasr 22 9 5 8 28:25 32
6 Al-Rustaq 22 8 8 6 25:25 32
7 Al-Shabab 22 5 9 8 22:26 24
8 Sur Club 22 6 6 10 29:34 24
9 Ibri 22 7 3 12 21:27 24
10 Dhofar 22 6 2 14 23:36 20
11 Bahla 22 4 6 12 12:25 18
12 Al-Wahda 22 4 1 17 16:47 13
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)