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Al Nasr vs Bahla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

FA Cup
Al Nasr Logo

Al Nasr

2 - 2
FT
Bahla Logo

Bahla

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Al Hinai M.
10' Event
Keita N.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Al Rawahi Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Nasr
30%
Draws
33%
Bahla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nasr come out ahead of Bahla on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Al Nasr taking it.
  • Al Nasr have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nasr, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Nasr here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 68%
Bahla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Bahla
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 21 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nasr vs Bahla
2:2
May 13, 2026 Professional League
Bahla vs Al Nasr
1:3
Jan 25, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Bahla
3:2
Oct 10, 2025 FA Cup
Al Nasr vs Bahla
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 Professional League
Bahla vs Al Nasr
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bahla Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hinai M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Rawahi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 59 / 100
Bahla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Bahla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nasr scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Bahla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Al Nasr has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Bahla
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al Samail
25 Sept
Fanja SC
3 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 8

Bahla

(Away)
01 Oct
Bahla
4 : 0
Fanja SC
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
11 Sept
Sur Club
1 : 3
Bahla
05 Sept
Saham
1 : 0
Bahla
30 Aug
Bahla
1 : 3
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahla 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
2 Oman Club 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Dhofar 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
4 Sur Club 4 2 1 1 7:9 7
5 Fanja SC 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
6 Al Samail 4 0 2 2 9:13 2
7 Al Nasr 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
2 Al Nahda 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
3 Al Shabab 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
4 Sohar 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
5 Saham 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
6 Al Msnaa 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
7 Ibri 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)