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Al Nasr vs Bani Yas

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Godwin S.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Wamba L.
Assist: Godwin S.
46'
Sub
Azarkan M. In: Doumbia C.
Out: Azarkan M.

AI Match Summary

Bani Yas in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bani Yas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Nasr
30%
Draws
41%
Bani Yas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bani Yas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bani Yas at 1.48 per game, Al Nasr at 1.47.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 17%
Bani Yas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Bani Yas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
0:2
Jan 2, 2026 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Al Nasr
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Al Nasr
0:0
Aug 29, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Bani Yas
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bani Yas Compare

Top Goalscorer Wamba L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niakate Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 31 / 100
Bani Yas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Bani Yas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bani Yas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Nasr has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Bani Yas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
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Bani Yas

(Away)
01 Oct
Bani Yas
3 : 1
Al Wahda
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
05 Sept
Bani Yas
0 : 1
Hatta
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1
Bani Yas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)