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Al Nasr vs Khaleej Sirte Prediction & H2H Stats

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Martyrs of February Stadium, Benghazi
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Nasr and Khaleej Sirte finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Al Nasr
20%
Draws
24%
Khaleej Sirte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nasr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nasr have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 17%
Khaleej Sirte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Khaleej Sirte
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Khaleej Sirte vs Al Nasr
1:2
Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Khaleej Sirte
1:0
Feb 25, 2025 Premier League
Khaleej Sirte vs Al Nasr
0:1
Jan 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Khaleej Sirte
2:0
Apr 7, 2022 Premier League
Khaleej Sirte vs Al Nasr
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 36 / 100
Khaleej Sirte 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Khaleej Sirte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Khaleej Sirte has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Khaleej Sirte
1.63 Goals Scored 2.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
2 : 3
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

Khaleej Sirte

(Away)
22 Apr
Wefaq Ajdabiya
1 : 0
Khaleej Sirte
16 Apr
Khaleej Sirte
1 : 2
Al Nasr
10 Apr
Al Afreeki
3 : 3
Khaleej Sirte
13 Mar
Khaleej Sirte
6 : 1
Al Andalus
07 Mar
Al Tahaddi
2 : 2
Khaleej Sirte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)