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Al Nasr vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
Fri, Dec 4, 2026
VS
03:25 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr host Shabab Al Ahli Dubai in the UAE League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Nasr at 1.64 goals for, 1.21 against; Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 1.97 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Al Nasr have won 1 to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.25) back Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Nasr
20%
Draws
40%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai lately — more wins on the board than Al Nasr.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Al Nasr taking it.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 19%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.64 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 League Cup
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr
1:1
May 6, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 League Cup
Al Nasr vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 League Cup
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 49 / 100
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nasr scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Nasr stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
17 Oct
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Hatta
13 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 0
Al Riffa
08 Oct
Al Nasr
4 : 1
Hatta
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

(Away)
22 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 2
Al Ain
17 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0
Al Ain
13 Oct
Al Ittihad
1 : 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
United FC
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Al Wasl 6 4 1 1 17:6 13
4 Al Ain 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
5 Al Wahda 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
6 Al Sharjah 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
7 Ajman 6 3 0 3 12:15 9
8 Al Nasr 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 United FC 6 2 1 3 13:18 7
10 Al Dhafra 6 2 0 4 8:10 6
11 Ittihad Kalba 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
12 Khorfakkan 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
13 Hatta 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
14 Bani Yas 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)