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Al Nasr vs United FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
Al Nasr Logo

Al Nasr

3 - 1
FT
United FC Logo

United FC

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Agudelo K.
27' Event
Agudelo K.
Assist: Joao Moreira
45' Event
Babicka S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Nasr
30%
Draws
23%
United FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nasr haven't matched United FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Nasr a 47% chance of winning this.
  • United FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nasr, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 15%
United FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr United FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 League Cup
Al Nasr vs United FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Agudelo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wesley Delgado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

United FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Babicka S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 84 / 100
United FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr United FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

United FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS United FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Nasr
4 : 1
Hatta
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
Page 1 of 6

United FC

(Away)
08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
United FC
01 Oct
United FC
3 : 2
Hatta
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
05 Sept
Al Sharjah
4 : 3
United FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Ajman 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Al Nasr 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Bani Yas 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Al Sharjah 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Ittihad Kalba 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
9 Al Wahda 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 United FC 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
11 Al Ain 3 0 1 2 6:8 1
12 Hatta 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
13 Khorfakkan 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
14 Al Dhafra 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)