Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nassr vs Al Fateh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nassr host Al Fateh in the Saudi Professional League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Al Nassr at 2.25 goals for, 1 against; Al Fateh at 0.88 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Al Nassr slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.94) point toward Al Nassr. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Nassr
17%
Draws
13%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nassr come out ahead of Al Fateh on wins alone.
  • Al Nassr are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nassr have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr Al Fateh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 8
Draws 1 9
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
5:1
May 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
3:1
Feb 17, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 67 / 100
Al Fateh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr Al Fateh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Al Fateh has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Nassr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Al Fateh
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr

(Home)
22 Jul
Benfica B
2 : 1
Al Nassr
21 May
Al Nassr
4 : 1
Damac
16 May
Al Nassr
0 : 1
Gamba Osaka
12 May
Al Nassr
1 : 1
Al Hilal
07 May
Al Shabab
2 : 4
Al Nassr
Page 1 of 6

Al Fateh

(Away)
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0
Al Fateh
21 May
Al Kholood
0 : 0
Al Fateh
14 May
Al Fateh
2 : 0
Al Najma
10 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Al Fateh
06 May
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hilal00000:00
2Al Ettifaq FC00000:00
3Al Ittihad00000:00
4Al Shabab00000:00
5Abha00000:00
6Al Ahli SC00000:00
7Al Hazem Rass00000:00
8Al Nassr00000:00
9Al Fateh00000:00
10Al Qadsiah00000:00
11Al Taawon00000:00
12Al-Faisaly00000:00
13Al Khaleej00000:00
14Al Riyadh00000:00
15Neom SC00000:00
16Al Diriyah00000:00
17Al Fayha00000:00
18Al Kholood00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)