Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nassr vs Al Fateh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
Al Nassr Logo

Al Nassr

3 - 0
FT
Al Fateh Logo

Al Fateh

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Al Abdulwahed F.
18'
Sub
Al Nasser S. In: Al Najdi S.
Out: Al Nasser S.
37' Event
Angelo
Assist: Al Najdi S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Nassr and Al Fateh finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Al Nassr
30%
Draws
16%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nassr come out ahead of Al Fateh on wins alone.
  • Al Nassr are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nassr have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr Al Fateh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 3
Draws 2 10
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.28 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
5:1
May 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Felix
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al Fateh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 85 / 100
Al Fateh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr Al Fateh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nassr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Al Fateh has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Nassr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Al Fateh
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
Page 1 of 6

Al Fateh

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
3 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
4 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
5 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
6 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
7 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
8 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
17 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)