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Stadium Background

Al Nassr vs Al Zawraa

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 King Saud University Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Coman K.
Assist: Angelo
19' Event
Wesley
29' Event
Al Amri A.
Assist: Joao Felix

AI Match Summary

Al Nassr in this AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nassr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Nassr
17%
Draws
13%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Nassr have won more games recently than Al Zawraa.
  • Model gives Al Nassr a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Nassr here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 68%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr Al Zawraa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 13
Draws 2 10
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 24, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Al Nassr vs Al Zawraa
5:1
Oct 1, 2025 AFC Champions League 2
Al Zawraa vs Al Nassr
0:2
Apr 23, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Zawraa vs Al Nassr
1:2
Apr 8, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Nassr vs Al Zawraa
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Coman K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wesley
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomiwa Gbadamosi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 77 / 100
Al Zawraa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr Al Zawraa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Al Zawraa has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Al Nassr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Al Zawraa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Wasl642015:614
2Esteghlal TEH62228:108
3Al-Muharraq62138:87
4Al Wehdat61145:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahli62407:410
2Arkadag61415:67
3Al Khalidiyah61323:36
4Andijan60511:35
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hussein43018:49
2Sepahan42115:37
3Ahal40134:101
4Mohun Bagan00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr660022:218
2Al Zawraa63038:119
3Istiqlol Dushanbe63037:139
4FC Goa60063:140
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1Macarthur FC641111:613
2Cong An Ha Noi62229:78
3Tai Po62137:127
4Beijing Guoan612310:125
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gamba Osaka660016:218
2Ratchaburi630315:89
3Nam Dinh630314:79
4Eastern AA60062:300
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1Persib Bandung641111:613
2Bangkok Utd63128:710
3Lion City Sailors631210:810
4Selangor60157:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampines651014:516
2Pohang64117:213
3Pathum United62045:86
4Kaya FC60064:150