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Al Nassr vs Almeria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Cidade do Futebol, Lisbon - Oeiras
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Vesga M. In: Gui Guedes
Out: Vesga M.
46'
Sub
Cipenga B. In: Melamed N.
Out: Cipenga B.
51' Event
Chirino D.

AI Match Summary

Almeria in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Nassr
15%
Draws
58%
Almeria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nassr lately — more wins on the board than Almeria.
  • Win probability leans Almeria's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Almeria have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 17%
Almeria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr Almeria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.28 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Nassr vs Almeria
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Almeria vs Al Nassr
3:2
Aug 8, 2024 Club Friendly
Almeria vs Al Nassr
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nassr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Chirino D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 23 / 100
Almeria 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Almeria conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Al Nassr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Almeria
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
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Almeria

(Away)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
12 Sept
Cordoba
0 : 2
Almeria
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2
Cadiz
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