Sport Picks

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Saud University Stadium

Al Nassr

4 - 1

Damac

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Al Hawsawi S.

26'

Al Anazi D.

34'

Mane S.

Assist: Joao Felix

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Nassr and Damac finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Al Nassr

11%

Draws

Damac

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Damac haven't matched Al Nassr's recent run of results.
Al Nassr are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nassr have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Al Nassr Clean Sheet 68%

Damac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Nassr	Damac
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	22	6
Draws	2	10
Losses	5	14
Goals Scored	3.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League

Al Nassr vs Damac

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

4:1

Jan 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League

Damac vs Al Nassr

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Apr 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League

Damac vs Al Nassr

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Nov 29, 2024 Saudi Professional League

Al Nassr vs Damac

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Apr 5, 2024 Saudi Professional League

Damac vs Al Nassr

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Mane S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Damac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 86 / 100

Damac 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Nassr Damac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Damac let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al Nassr has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Damac

3.13 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nassr	34	28	2	4	91:28	86
2	Al Hilal	34	25	9	0	85:27	84
3	Al Ahli SC	34	25	6	3	71:25	81
4	Al Qadsiah	34	23	8	3	83:34	77
5	Al Ittihad	34	16	7	11	55:48	55
6	Al Taawon	34	15	8	11	59:46	53
7	Al Ettifaq FC	34	14	8	12	51:55	50
8	Neom SC	34	12	9	13	43:48	45
9	Al Hazem Rass	34	11	9	14	38:57	42
10	Al Fayha	34	10	8	16	41:54	38
11	Al Fateh	34	9	10	15	41:55	37
12	Al Khaleej	34	10	7	17	54:62	37
13	Al Shabab	34	8	11	15	44:57	35
14	Al Kholood	34	9	6	19	39:61	33
15	Al Riyadh	34	7	9	18	35:63	30
16	Damac	34	6	11	17	32:55	29
17	Al Okhdood	34	5	5	24	27:70	20
18	Al Najma	34	3	7	24	32:76	16