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Al Nassr vs SK St. Johann

World World

Club Friendly 2025 1508 SaalfeldenArena, Saalfelden
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Seeber B.
22' Event
Mane S.
33' Event
Ghareeb A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Al Nassr and SK St. Johann finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Nassr
33%
Draws
27%
SK St. Johann
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nassr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Nassr a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 10%
SK St. Johann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr SK St. Johann
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Al Nassr vs SK St. Johann
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Mane S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghareeb A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

SK St. Johann Compare

Top Goalscorer Seeber B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cisse A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 38 / 100
SK St. Johann 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr SK St. Johann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

SK St. Johann let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Al Nassr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS SK St. Johann
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr

(Home)
22 Jul
Benfica B
2 : 1
Al Nassr
21 May
Al Nassr
4 : 1
Damac
16 May
Al Nassr
0 : 1
Gamba Osaka
12 May
Al Nassr
1 : 1
Al Hilal
07 May
Al Shabab
2 : 4
Al Nassr
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SK St. Johann

(Away)
12 Jun
SK St. Johann
2 : 2
Vols
07 Jun
SC Mils 05
0 : 3
SK St. Johann
04 Jun
SK St. Johann
1 : 1
Fugen
30 May
SK St. Johann
2 : 1
SV Oberperfuss
17 May
Telfs
4 : 1
SK St. Johann
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