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Al Nassr W vs Al Hilal W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Super Cup Women King Fahd Sports City, Ta’if
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Luvanga C.
40' Event
Oshoala A.
46' Event
Bahlouli N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Nassr W
15%
Draws
36%
Al Hilal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nassr W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nassr W come out ahead of Al Hilal W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Al Nassr W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nassr W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nassr W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Nassr W Clean Sheet 11%
Al Hilal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr W Al Hilal W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 26 17
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 3.91 2.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super Cup Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Hilal W
4:1
Mar 26, 2026 Premier League Women
Al Hilal W vs Al Nassr W
1:4
Nov 6, 2025 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Hilal W
3:1
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League Women
Al Hilal W vs Al Nassr W
3:2
Dec 21, 2024 Premier League Women
Al Nassr W vs Al Hilal W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nassr W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luvanga C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bahlouli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Al Hilal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshoala A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr W 29 / 100
Al Hilal W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr W Al Hilal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nassr W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr W scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Al Hilal W conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Al Nassr W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr W VS Al Hilal W
4.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr W

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Ahli SC W
0 : 5
Al Nassr W
25 Sept
Al Nassr W
3 : 1
Al Ula W
19 Sept
Al Ittihad W
4 : 2
Al Nassr W
10 Sept
Al Nassr W
3 : 0
Neom SC W
05 Sept
Al Nassr W
4 : 1
Al Hilal W
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Al Hilal W

(Away)
01 Oct
Al Ula W
1 : 3
Al Hilal W
26 Sept
Al Hilal W
6 : 0
Al Taraji W
18 Sept
Al Ahli SC W
0 : 9
Al Hilal W
11 Sept
Al Hilal W
1 : 3
Al Ittihad W
05 Sept
Al Nassr W
4 : 1
Al Hilal W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Al Nassr W 5
Al Ahli SC W 2
Al Hilal W 2
Al Ittihad W 1
Final
Al Nassr W 4
Al Hilal W 1