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Al Okhdood vs Al Ettifaq FC

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City
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AI Match Summary

Al Okhdood play Al Ettifaq FC in the Saudi Professional League. Al Ettifaq FC are favorites here. Recently, Al Okhdood averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Al Ettifaq FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Al Okhdood won 0, Al Ettifaq FC won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Al Okhdood and 2.06 for Al Ettifaq FC. This points to a Al Ettifaq FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al Okhdood
20%
Draws
58%
Al Ettifaq FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ettifaq FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Okhdood picked up more points recently compared to Al Ettifaq FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Al Okhdood Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Okhdood Al Ettifaq FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:3
Jan 2, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Okhdood
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Ettifaq FC
0:2
Aug 28, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Okhdood
1:0
May 17, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Okhdood
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Okhdood Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedroza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Ettifaq FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Medran A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ghannam K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Okhdood 22 / 100
Al Ettifaq FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Okhdood Al Ettifaq FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ettifaq FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Ettifaq FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Okhdood attacking → ← attacking Al Ettifaq FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Okhdood scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Al Ettifaq FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Al Okhdood went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Ettifaq FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 43
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616