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Al Okhdood vs Al Najma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City, Najran
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Al Bishi N.
8' Event
Al Lazam K.
Assist: Dambelley A.
26'
Al Lazam K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Okhdood
35%
Draws
37%
Al Najma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Okhdood lately — more wins on the board than Al Najma.
  • Al Najma are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Okhdood here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Al Okhdood Clean Sheet 27%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Okhdood Al Najma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 2 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Division 1
Al Okhdood vs Al Najma
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Okhdood
1:3
Oct 31, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Najma
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Okhdood Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Lazam K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rui Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Novais J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Okhdood 30 / 100
Al Najma 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Okhdood Al Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Najma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Najma let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Al Okhdood found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Al Okhdood stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Okhdood VS Al Najma
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Okhdood

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Okhdood
1 : 5
Al Ula
14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2
Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
31 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0
Al Okhdood
26 Aug
Al Bukiryah
1 : 1
Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 6

Al Najma

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1
Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0
Al Najma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 6 6 0 0 15:2 18
2 Al Zulfi 6 2 4 0 7:1 10
3 Al Taee 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Al Anwar 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
5 Damac 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
6 Al Jabalain 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
7 Al Wehda 6 1 5 0 9:7 8
8 Al Adalah 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
9 Jeddah Club 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Al Saqer 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Al Najma 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
12 Al Orubah 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
13 Al Raed 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
14 Hajer 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
15 Al Okhdood 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
16 Al Jandal 6 1 2 3 9:9 5
17 Al Bukiryah 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)