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Al Oruba vs Al Yarmuk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Yarmuk in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Yarmuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Al Oruba
35%
Draws
41%
Al Yarmuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Yarmuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Oruba lately — more wins on the board than Al Yarmuk.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Oruba Clean Sheet 16%
Al Yarmuk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Oruba Al Yarmuk
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.29 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Division 1
Al Oruba vs Al Yarmuk
0:1
Jan 3, 2015 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Oruba
1:1
Aug 30, 2014 Division 1
Al Oruba vs Al Yarmuk
1:2
Mar 14, 2014 Division 1
Al Yarmuk vs Al Oruba
1:2
Dec 21, 2013 Division 1
Al Oruba vs Al Yarmuk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Oruba 31 / 100
Al Yarmuk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Oruba Al Yarmuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Yarmuk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Oruba found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Al Yarmuk has conceded goals in 62% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Oruba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Oruba VS Al Yarmuk
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Oruba

(Home)
19 Aug
Al Oruba
0 : 1
Al Yarmuk
11 Aug
Al Oruba
3 : 1
Salam
05 Aug
Al Oruba
2 : 2
Fhman
21 Jul
Al Shabab Hadramaut
1 : 0
Al Oruba
17 Jul
Mukallah
3 : 0
Al Oruba
Page 1 of 6

Al Yarmuk

(Away)
19 Aug
Al Oruba
0 : 1
Al Yarmuk
13 Aug
Al Wahda
0 : 0
Al Yarmuk
07 Aug
Al Ittihad
2 : 2
Al Yarmuk
22 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Tadamone Hadramout
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab Hadramaut 12 9 2 1 18:3 29
2 Tadamone Hadramout 12 8 2 2 15:5 26
3 Al Sadd 12 6 4 2 19:9 22
4 Al Ahli 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
5 Al Wahda 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
6 Fhman 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
7 Al Yarmuk 12 5 5 2 15:10 20
8 Mukallah 12 6 1 5 14:11 19
9 Al Oruba 12 6 1 5 15:16 19
10 Ittihad Hadramout 12 3 1 8 12:19 10
11 Al Ittihad 12 2 3 7 7:18 9
12 Al Hilal 11 2 1 8 8:22 7
13 Salam 12 2 0 10 6:20 6
14 Al Baydaa 12 1 1 10 6:24 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)