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Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya

Kuwait Kuwait

Premier League Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Qadisiya play Al Salmiya in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Qadisiya averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. Al Salmiya averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Al Qadisiya won 3, Al Salmiya won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 16, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Al Qadisiya and 1.13 for Al Salmiya. This points to a Al Qadisiya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Al Qadisiya
23%
Draws
33%
Al Salmiya
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qadisiya picked up more points recently compared to Al Salmiya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 21%
Al Salmiya Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadisiya Al Salmiya
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.3
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya
3:2
May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya
2:1
Oct 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Salmiya vs Al Qadisiya
0:0
Apr 24, 2025 Crown Prince Cup
Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya
3:1
Apr 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadisiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shatti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meziani T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Salmiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayedh F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadisiya 44 / 100
Al Salmiya 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadisiya Al Salmiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Qadisiya or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Qadisiya attacking → ← attacking Al Salmiya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qadisiya scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Al Salmiya let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Al Qadisiya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Salmiya lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 47
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Kuwait18135046:1044
2Al Qadisiya1895432:1432
3Kazma SC1886422:1730
4Al Arabi (Kuwait)1886428:1330
5Al Salmiya1886421:1230
6Al-Fahaheel1863921:3621
7Al Tadamon18531016:2818
8Al Shabab1846812:3318
9Al Naser18441017:2416
10Al Jahra18221411:398