Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Qadisiya vs Al Shabab

Kuwait Kuwait

Premier League 2025/2026 Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium, Kuwait
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Mbengue A.
64' Event
Mbengue A.
70' Event
Kebano N.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Qadisiya and Al Shabab finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Qadisiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Qadisiya
20%
Draws
33%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qadisiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Qadisiya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Qadisiya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadisiya Al Shabab
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Shabab
4:1
Jan 7, 2026 Crown Prince Cup
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
0:2
Sep 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
1:1
Mar 7, 2024 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Shabab
7:0
Dec 5, 2023 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadisiya
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadisiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbengue A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kebano N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuwaid N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadisiya 85 / 100
Al Shabab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadisiya Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadisiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Al Qadisiya scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Al Qadisiya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Qadisiya VS Al Shabab
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qadisiya

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Qadisiya
3 : 0
Al Naser
31 Aug
Al Qadisiya
0 : 1
Al Kuwait
25 Aug
Al-Fahaheel
1 : 2
Al Qadisiya
04 Aug
Al Qadisiya
3 : 1
Al Orubah
29 Jun
Al Qadisiya
0 : 0
Al Kuwait
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Al Shabab

(Away)
06 Sept
Al Shabab
2 : 3
Kazma SC
31 Aug
Al Sulaibikhat
1 : 1
Al Shabab
26 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 2
Al Jahra
26 Jun
Al Tadamon
1 : 3
Al Shabab
21 Jun
Al Shabab
1 : 2
Al Jahra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 18 13 5 0 46:10 44
2 Al Qadisiya 18 9 5 4 32:14 32
3 Kazma SC 18 8 6 4 22:17 30
4 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 18 8 6 4 28:13 30
5 Al Salmiya 18 8 6 4 21:12 30
6 Al-Fahaheel 18 6 3 9 21:36 21
7 Al Tadamon 18 5 3 10 16:28 18
8 Al Shabab 18 4 6 8 12:33 18
9 Al Naser 18 4 4 10 17:24 16
10 Al Jahra 18 2 2 14 11:39 8
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)