Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Qadisiya vs Burgan

Kuwait Kuwait

Emir Cup Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Qadisiya play Burgan in the Emir Cup. Al Qadisiya are favorites here. Recently, Al Qadisiya averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Burgan averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Al Qadisiya won 5, Burgan won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.65 for Al Qadisiya and 1.06 for Burgan. This points to a Al Qadisiya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Al Qadisiya
20%
Draws
24%
Burgan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Al Qadisiya picked up more points recently compared to Burgan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.65 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 22%
Burgan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadisiya Burgan
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Qadisiya vs Burgan
2:0
May 21, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Qadisiya vs Burgan
3:2
Sep 18, 2021 Emir Cup
Burgan vs Al Qadisiya
0:2
Oct 20, 2020 Premier League
Burgan vs Al Qadisiya
0:3
Apr 4, 2017 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Burgan
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadisiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebrahim K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kebano N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Burgan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadisiya 55 / 100
Burgan 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadisiya Burgan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadisiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Al Qadisiya & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Qadisiya attacking → ← attacking Burgan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qadisiya scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Burgan let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Al Qadisiya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Burgan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 32
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67