Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League

Al Dahra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Qadisiyah play Al Dahra in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Qadisiyah averaged 0.61 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Al Dahra averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Al Qadisiyah won 2, Al Dahra won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Al Qadisiyah and 0.94 for Al Dahra. This points to a Al Qadisiyah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Al Qadisiyah

29%

Draws

24%

Al Dahra

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Al Qadisiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Al Qadisiyah picked up more points recently compared to Al Dahra.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Al Qadisiyah Clean Sheet 24%

Al Dahra Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Qadisiyah	Al Dahra
Matches Played	18	33
Wins	6	6
Draws	2	11
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	0.61	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.64
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League

Al Dahra vs Al Qadisiyah

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Jan 16, 2026 Premier League

Al Qadisiyah vs Al Dahra

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadisiyah 47 / 100

Al Dahra 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Qadisiyah Al Dahra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Qadisiyah or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Qadisiyah attacking → ← attacking Al Dahra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qadisiyah scored in 39% of their last 18 games.

Al Dahra let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Qadisiyah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Dahra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 29

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	18	15	2	1	47:9	47
2	Asswehly	18	13	4	1	35:9	43
3	Al Madina	18	8	4	6	23:22	28
4	Al Watan	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
5	Assabah	18	6	4	8	12:18	22
6	Al Malaab El Libby	18	5	5	8	15:21	20
7	Al-Khmes	18	5	5	8	19:31	20
8	Al Qadisiyah	18	6	2	10	11:24	19
9	Al Dahra	18	3	5	10	20:27	14
10	Abu Salim	18	3	4	11	13:30	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Ittihad	16	13	3	0	35:9	42
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	7	6	3	21:11	27
4	Al-Majd	16	6	5	5	14:13	23
5	Al Shomooa	16	6	4	6	24:19	22
6	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	6	6	17:27	18
7	Al Tirsana	16	3	7	6	15:23	16
8	Ittihad Gharyan	16	2	4	10	10:25	10
9	Abi Al Ashar	16	1	3	12	9:32	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Military Union	16	10	5	1	26:9	35
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	16	10	4	2	20:11	34
3	Al Ahly Benghazi	16	9	6	1	23:6	33
4	Al Taawun	16	7	5	4	19:14	26
5	Darnes	16	5	5	6	16:16	20
6	Al Sadaqa	16	5	4	7	16:17	19
7	Al-Anwar	16	1	8	7	12:23	11
8	Al Borouq	16	2	4	10	7:21	10
9	Al-Suqoor	16	1	3	12	13:35	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	14	11	2	1	28:7	35
2	Al Akhdar	14	8	4	2	16:9	28
3	Al-Afreeki	14	7	2	5	29:18	23
4	Al Tahaddi	14	5	6	3	21:14	21
5	Khaleej Sirte	14	5	4	5	25:22	19
6	Wefaq Ajdabiya	14	5	3	6	13:17	18
7	Al Murooj SC	14	4	1	9	16:24	13
8	Al-Andalus	14	0	0	14	1:38	0