Sport Picks
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam 
Match Events
14'
14'
Reijnders T.
Assist: Al Juwayr M.
23'
23'
Atangana V.
29'
29'
Alvarez G.
AI Match Summary
Al Qadsiah in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Qadsiah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Qadsiah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Qadsiah lately — more wins on the board than Al Ahli SC.
- Al Qadsiah are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Qadsiah | Al Ahli SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.43 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli SC
3:2
Mar 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli SC
3:2
Nov 28, 2025 King Cup
Al Ahli SC vs Al Qadsiah
4:3
Nov 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Qadsiah
2:1
Aug 20, 2025 Super Cup
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli SC
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Qadsiah Compare
Top Goalscorer Reijnders T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Abu Al Shamat M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Al Ahli SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Toney I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Qadsiah 57 / 100
Al Ahli SC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Qadsiah Al Ahli SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Qadsiah scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 5.20 goals.
Al Qadsiah went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Al Ahli SC conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Al Qadsiah VS Al Ahli SC
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Qadsiah
(Home) 09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5 Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1 Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1 Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al Faisaly
21 Aug
Al Qadsiah
0 : 1 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 3
Al Ahli SC
(Away) 09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4 Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4 Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0 Al Ahli SC
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:15 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Ettifaq FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
