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Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
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Match Events

6'
Al Alaeli M.
12' Event
Quinones J.
Assist: Abu Al Shamat M.
15' Event
Retegui M.
Assist: Bonsu Baah C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Al Qadsiah
35%
Draws
21%
Al Ettifaq FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Al Qadsiah have won more games recently than Al Ettifaq FC.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Al Qadsiah taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadsiah Al Ettifaq FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.43 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq FC
3:3
Apr 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Qadsiah
3:2
Feb 23, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq FC
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Qadsiah
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadsiah Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinones J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Retegui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al Ettifaq FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Celina B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medran A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadsiah 85 / 100
Al Ettifaq FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadsiah Al Ettifaq FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qadsiah scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Qadsiah stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Ettifaq FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Qadsiah VS Al Ettifaq FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qadsiah

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
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Al Ettifaq FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Ettifaq FC
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
17 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)