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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Al Minaa in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 1.69 goals for, 1.17 against; Al Minaa at 1.1 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 3 to Al Minaa's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.25) point toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
35%
Draws
32%
Al Minaa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Al Minaa on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 19%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Minaa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa
1:0
May 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2:2
Sep 27, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa
2:1
May 18, 2024 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 31 / 100
Al Minaa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Minaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Minaa conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Quwa Al Jawiya remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Minaa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
17 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Karma
12 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 4
Al Ain
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Minaa

(Away)
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0
Al Minaa
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 10 7 3 0 17:7 24
2 Newroz 10 6 3 1 16:4 21
3 Al Naft 10 6 3 1 13:5 21
4 Al Zawraa 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Erbil 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
6 Al Shorta 10 4 5 1 10:5 17
7 Al Golan 10 3 5 2 10:9 14
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 2 6 2 14:12 12
9 Duhok 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
10 Diyala 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
11 Al Minaa 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
12 Ghaz Al Shamal 10 2 5 3 5:7 11
13 Al Talaba 10 2 5 3 10:14 11
14 Al Mosul 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
15 Zakho 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
16 Al Gharraf 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
17 Al Karkh 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
18 Al Kahraba 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
19 Naft Missan 10 1 5 4 7:14 8
20 Karbala 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)