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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawraa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sami M.
39' Event
Ahmed H.
Assist: Adnan A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Zawraa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20%
Draws
47%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 15%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Zawraa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 11
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawraa
0:1
May 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawraa
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Apr 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawraa
1:2
Jan 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 41 / 100
Al Zawraa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Zawraa let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Zawraa
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Zawraa

(Away)
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 9 7 2 0 17:7 23
2 Newroz 9 5 3 1 14:4 18
3 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
5 Al Naft 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
6 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Minaa 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
9 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
10 Al Golan 9 2 5 2 8:9 11
11 Diyala 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
12 Zakho 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 9 1 5 3 4:7 8
14 Al Kahraba 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
15 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
16 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
17 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
18 Al Karkh 9 2 1 6 12:17 7
19 Al Gharraf 9 1 3 5 4:12 6
20 Karbala 9 1 3 5 6:15 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)