Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawraa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ahmed H.
85' Event
Jawad M.
90' Event
Jawad M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Zawraa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
28%
Draws
22%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Al Zawraa on wins alone.
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Zawraa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 22 14
Draws 6 12
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawraa
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Apr 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawraa
1:2
Jan 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3:1
Jul 7, 2024 Iraq Cup
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawraa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawad M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 59 / 100
Al Zawraa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Zawraa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Zawraa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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Al Zawraa

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
27 May
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Naft
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al-Qassim
10 May
Al Minaa
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)