Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Temirov S.
61' Event
Umar A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Erbil finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
33%
Draws
40%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Erbil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Erbil a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 16%
Erbil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Erbil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:0
Jun 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil
1:2
Feb 4, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Jul 1, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Umar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Erbil Compare

Top Goalscorer Temirov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 28 / 100
Erbil 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Erbil conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Quwa Al Jawiya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Erbil
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Erbil

(Away)
02 Jun
Erbil
3 : 1
Baghdad
28 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Erbil
20 May
Al Shorta
0 : 2
Erbil
16 May
Erbil
0 : 1
Newroz
11 May
Al Najaf
1 : 4
Erbil
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)