Sport Picks
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
33'
33'
Abbas R.
Assist: Mirkah A.
44'
44'
Jawad M.
Penalty Missed
74'
74'
Abdulrahman M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won more games recently than Ghaz Al Shamal.
- Model gives Al Quwa Al Jawiya a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Ghaz Al Shamal Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Ghaz Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 9 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 0.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdulameer S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Ghaz Al Shamal Compare
Top Goalscorer Abbas R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 68 / 100
Ghaz Al Shamal 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Ghaz Al Shamal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Ghaz Al Shamal conceded in 67% of 9 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Ghaz Al Shamal
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
(Home) 07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Naft Missan
25 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2 Zakho
Page 1 of 3
Ghaz Al Shamal
(Away) 10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0 Ghaz Al Shamal
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0 Newroz
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0 Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1 Al Golan
Page 1 of 2
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0 Ghaz Al Shamal
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0 Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
25 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Minaa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Golan | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Kahraba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
