Sport Picks

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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala

Iraq Iraq

Iraq Cup
Fri, Jun 5, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Karbala in the Iraq Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 2.25 goals for, 0.88 against; Karbala at 0.5 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 4 to Karbala's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.73 vs 0.69, favoring Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
6%
Draws
4%
Karbala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Karbala on wins alone.
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Iraq Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 20%
Karbala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Karbala
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 24 2
Draws 6 5
Losses 1 22
Goals Scored 2.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
0:0
May 13, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:4
Feb 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
1:0
Apr 25, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
2:1
Dec 16, 2023 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 85 / 100
Karbala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Karbala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Karbala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Quwa Al Jawiya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Karbala
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Shorta-
Al Bahri-
Al-Karma-
Al-Hashd Al-Shaab-
Al Talaba-
Al Karkh-
Al-Qasim-
Al Naft-
Naft Missan-
Al Zawraa-
Duhok-
Erbil-
Al Minaa-
Zakho-
Al Quwa Al Jawiya-
Karbala-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-