Sport Picks
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
57'
57'
Gueye Dieme D.
74'
74'
Jawad M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Stars League game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Naft Missan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Naft Missan haven't matched Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Al Quwa Al Jawiya's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Al Quwa Al Jawiya have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Naft Missan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
1:1
May 28, 2026 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Feb 6, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
2:1
Jul 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Missan
4:2
Dec 16, 2024 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Naft Missan Compare
Top Goalscorer Gueye Dieme D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 40 / 100
Naft Missan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Naft Missan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Naft Missan has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Naft Missan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
(Home) 07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Naft Missan
25 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2 Zakho
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Naft Missan
(Away) 08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1 Erbil
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0 Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Newroz
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2 Naft Missan
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Naft Missan
29 Aug
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Naft Missan
25 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Naft Missan
02 Jun
Al Gharraf
0 : 2 Naft Missan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Minaa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Golan | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Kahraba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
