Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Raed vs Abha

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gano Z.
Assist: Yoda K.
21' Event
Sow S.
Assist: Al Ghamdi F.
42' Event
Yoda K.
Assist: Al Salouli S.

AI Match Summary

Al Raed in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Raed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Raed
20%
Draws
16%
Abha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Raed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Al Raed haven't matched Abha's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Al Raed taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 18%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Raed Abha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.79 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Division 1
Al Raed vs Abha
5:1
Jan 17, 2026 Division 1
Abha vs Al Raed
2:1
Dec 29, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Abha
4:3
Aug 19, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Raed
1:0
Feb 10, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Abha
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Raed Compare

Top Goalscorer Gano Z.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Yoda K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Abha Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Raed 85 / 100
Abha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Raed Abha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Raed scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Abha let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Abha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Raed VS Abha
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Raed

(Home)
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Raed
13 May
Al Raed
5 : 1
Abha
09 May
Al Zulfi
2 : 2
Al Raed
02 May
Al-Ula
2 : 1
Al Raed
27 Apr
Al Raed
1 : 2
Al-Faisaly
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Abha

(Away)
31 Jul
Rizespor
0 : 0
Abha
19 Jul
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Abha
13 May
Al Raed
5 : 1
Abha
09 May
Abha
0 : 1
Al Adalah
01 May
Al Diriyah
2 : 0
Abha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)