Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Gano Z.
Assist: Yoda K.
21'
21'
Sow S.
Assist: Al Ghamdi F.
42'
42'
Yoda K.
Assist: Al Salouli S.
AI Match Summary
Al Raed in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Raed.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Raed
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Raed haven't matched Abha's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Raed taking it.
- Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 20%
Abha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Raed | Abha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 Division 1
Al Raed vs Abha
5:1
Jan 17, 2026 Division 1
Abha vs Al Raed
2:1
Dec 29, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Abha
4:3
Aug 19, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Raed
1:0
Feb 10, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Abha
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Raed Compare
Top Goalscorer Gano Z.
3 Goals Assists Leader Yoda K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Abha Compare
Top Goalscorer Sow S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Raed 36 / 100
Abha 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Raed Abha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Abha has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Al Raed scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Abha lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Raed VS Abha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Raed
(Home) 19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0 Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0 Al Jeel
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0 Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Raed
2 : 3 Hajer
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0 Al Jeel
28 Aug
Al Raed
2 : 3 Hajer
17 Aug
Al Raed
0 : 2 Al Hilal
13 May
Al Raed
5 : 1 Abha
27 Apr
Al Raed
1 : 2 Al Faisaly
Page 1 of 3
Abha
(Away) 13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1 Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2 Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1 Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0 Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1 Abha
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2 Abha
22 Aug
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0 Abha
16 Aug
Al Orubah
1 : 0 Abha
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 64:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Al Faisaly | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 76:32 | 73 |
| 3 | Al Diriyah | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 79:39 | 72 |
| 4 | Al Ula | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 72:33 | 71 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 56:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 64:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 46:45 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 48:52 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Bukiryah | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:48 | 43 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 53:54 | 41 |
| 13 | Jeddah Club | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Adalah | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:70 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Al Batin | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 39:69 | 22 |
| 17 | Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 24:67 | 21 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
