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Al Raed vs Hajer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tweh S.
21'
Derbal A.
43'
Al Eissa A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Raed and Hajer finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hajer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Raed
35%
Draws
19%
Hajer
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Raed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Raed haven't matched Hajer's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Raed here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 20%
Hajer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Raed Hajer
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.59 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division 1
Al Raed vs Hajer
2:3
Nov 10, 2019 King Cup
Hajer vs Al Raed
0:2
Mar 12, 2016 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Hajer
2:1
Dec 25, 2015 Saudi Professional League
Hajer vs Al Raed
1:2
Mar 6, 2015 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Hajer
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Raed Compare

Top Goalscorer Tweh S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Shammari H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Hajer Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Yousef A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Raed 31 / 100
Hajer 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Raed Hajer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Raed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Al Raed scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Hajer let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Raed stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Raed VS Hajer
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Raed

(Home)
19 Oct
Al Raed
0 : 2
Al Saqer
14 Oct
Al Raed
1 : 0
Jeddah Club
19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0
Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6

Hajer

(Away)
20 Oct
Hajer
2 : 4
Al Najma
20 Sept
Al Jeel
0 : 0
Hajer
13 Sept
Hajer
0 : 1
Al Jabalain
08 Sept
Al Zulfi
0 : 0
Hajer
02 Sept
Hajer
1 : 1
Al Anwar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 7 6 1 0 16:3 19
2 Al Jabalain 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Al Zulfi 8 3 5 0 10:2 14
4 Al Najma 8 3 4 1 14:9 13
5 Al Wehda 8 2 6 0 16:9 12
6 Al Adalah 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
7 Damac 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
8 Al Anwar 8 2 5 1 7:5 11
9 Al Saqer 8 2 4 2 7:6 10
10 Al Raed 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
11 Al Taee 8 3 1 4 11:19 10
12 Al Orubah 7 1 5 1 5:5 8
13 Jeddah Club 8 2 2 4 6:9 8
14 Al Okhdood 8 1 4 3 10:16 7
15 Al Jandal 7 1 3 3 10:10 6
16 Hajer 7 1 3 3 6:11 6
17 Al Bukiryah 8 0 3 5 5:14 3
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)