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Al Rayyan vs Lusail

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rodrigo
33' Event
Rodrigo
77' Event
Roustaei A.

AI Match Summary

Al Rayyan in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Rayyan
6%
Draws
4%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Rayyan have won more games recently than Lusail.
  • Model gives Al Rayyan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Al Rayyan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Rayyan, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 20%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Rayyan Lusail
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Rayyan vs Lusail
5:2
May 5, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Rayyan vs Lusail
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo
3 Goals
Assists Leader Naji M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Roustaei A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Rayyan 85 / 100
Lusail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Rayyan Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Rayyan's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Lusail let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Al Rayyan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Rayyan VS Lusail
2.25 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Rayyan

(Home)
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3
Al Rayyan
01 May
Al Rayyan
0 : 3
Al Wakra
27 Apr
Al Rayyan
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
23 Apr
Al Shabab
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
19 Apr
Al Rayyan
2 : 0
Al Qadisiya
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Lusail

(Away)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)