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Al Rayyan vs Umm-Salal

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rodrigo
32' Event
Roger Guedes
38'
Gregore

AI Match Summary

Al Rayyan in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Rayyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Rayyan
6%
Draws
4%
Umm-Salal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Rayyan lately — more wins on the board than Umm-Salal.
  • Al Rayyan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Rayyan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 20%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Rayyan Umm-Salal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al Rayyan vs Umm-Salal
3:0
Mar 28, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Rayyan vs Umm-Salal
4:3
Nov 22, 2025 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Rayyan
1:2
Jan 10, 2025 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Rayyan
2:6
Nov 16, 2024 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Rayyan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Roger Guedes
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Umm-Salal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Rayyan 85 / 100
Umm-Salal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Rayyan Umm-Salal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Rayyan scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Umm-Salal has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Umm-Salal's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Rayyan VS Umm-Salal
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Rayyan

(Home)
19 Jul
Rochdale
3 : 3
Al Rayyan
01 May
Al Rayyan
0 : 3
Al Wakra
27 Apr
Al Rayyan
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
23 Apr
Al Shabab
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
19 Apr
Al Rayyan
2 : 0
Al Qadisiya
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Umm-Salal

(Away)
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Umm-Salal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
28 Mar
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd22143556:3045
2Shamal22124639:2840
3Al Rayyan22115646:3238
4Al-Gharafa22113836:3636
5Al-Duhail2296740:2733
6Al Arabi (Qatar)2295837:4132
7Al Wakra2286836:3430
8Qatar SC2285932:3629
9Al Ahli22821234:4326
10Al Sailiya22641225:3822
11Al-Shahaniya22631322:3921
12Umm-Salal22621437:5620
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)