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Stadium Background

Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Baattia S.
17'
Wesley Delgado
29'
Barbet Y.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Riyadh and Al Fateh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riyadh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Riyadh
39%
Draws
30%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Fateh come out ahead of Al Riyadh on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 15%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadh Al Fateh
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh
1:0
Jan 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
3:1
Oct 27, 2025 King Cup
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
2:0
Apr 23, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh
2:2
Nov 28, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Fateh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadh 31 / 100
Al Fateh 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadh Al Fateh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Riyadh's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Fateh has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Riyadh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadh VS Al Fateh
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616