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Al Riyadh vs Al-Gharafa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lekhal V.
55' Event
Coman F.
61' Event
Brahimi Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Al Riyadh
30%
Draws
8%
Al-Gharafa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Riyadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Gharafa lately — more wins on the board than Al Riyadh.
  • Model gives Al Riyadh a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadh Al-Gharafa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Riyadh vs Al-Gharafa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekhal V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Gharafa Compare

Top Goalscorer Coman F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadh 42 / 100
Al-Gharafa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadh Al-Gharafa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Gharafa let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Al Riyadh scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Riyadh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadh VS Al-Gharafa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadh

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
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Al-Gharafa

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
27 Aug
Al-Gharafa
1 : 3
Shamal
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