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Al Riyadh vs Al-Gharafa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lekhal V.
55' Event
Coman F.
61' Event
Brahimi Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Al Riyadh
17%
Draws
70%
Al-Gharafa
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al-Gharafa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Gharafa lately — more wins on the board than Al Riyadh.
  • Model gives Al-Gharafa a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadh Al-Gharafa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 10 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Riyadh vs Al-Gharafa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekhal V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al-Gharafa Compare

Top Goalscorer Coman F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadh 16 / 100
Al-Gharafa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadh Al-Gharafa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Gharafa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Al Riyadh scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Riyadh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadh VS Al-Gharafa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadh

(Home)
27 Jul
Al Riyadh
2 : 2
Al-Gharafa
21 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Al Okhdood
15 May
Al Taawon
1 : 1
Al Riyadh
10 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Al Fateh
04 May
Al Fayha
4 : 2
Al Riyadh
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Al-Gharafa

(Away)
27 Jul
Al Riyadh
2 : 2
Al-Gharafa
19 Jul
Samorin
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1
Al-Sadd
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
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