Sport Picks
Al Riyadh vs Al Ittihad
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh 
Match Events
4'
4'
En Nesyri Y.
Assist: Roger
22'
22'
Al Siyahi A.
46'
46'
Sub
Al Boardi O. In: Sali E.
Out: Al Boardi O.
AI Match Summary
Al Riyadh in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Riyadh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ittihad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Riyadh haven't matched Al Ittihad's recent run of results.
- Model gives Al Ittihad a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Ittihad have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Riyadh | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Ittihad
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Riyadh
2:1
Mar 13, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Riyadh
2:1
Oct 24, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Ittihad
0:1
Feb 18, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Riyadh
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Riyadh Compare
Top Goalscorer Antunes L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toze
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Al Ittihad Compare
Top Goalscorer En Nesyri Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Riyadh 10 / 100
Al Ittihad 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Riyadh Al Ittihad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Riyadh scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Al Ittihad has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Al Riyadh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Riyadh VS Al Ittihad
1 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Riyadh
(Home) 07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4 Al Nassr
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28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4 Al Nassr
27 Jul
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 Al-Gharafa
21 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Al Okhdood
10 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 3
Al Ittihad
(Away) 11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
24 Aug
Al Ittihad
3 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
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11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
21 Aug
Al Qadsiah
0 : 1 Al Ittihad
18 Aug
Al Najma
0 : 3 Al Ittihad
11 Aug
Al Jazira
1 : 4 Al Ittihad
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
